Martyn Waghorn
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship striker, 25/26, 2,430 appearances
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Martyn Waghorn has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Martyn Waghorn featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading8 May | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Swansea City15 Apr | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Millwall18 Mar | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Norwich15 Mar | 83 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ West Brom11 Mar | 82 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Bristol City7 Mar | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Burnley25 Feb | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Birmingham City18 Feb | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Stoke City15 Feb | 68 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Wigan Athletic11 Feb | 62 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Championship official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees
Frequently asked
How often does Martyn Waghorn have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Martyn Waghorn has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Martyn Waghorn average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Martyn Waghorn is averaging 0.20 shots on target and 0.78 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Martyn Waghorn get booked?
Martyn Waghorn is averaging 0.39 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Martyn Waghorn commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Martyn Waghorn commits 1.37 fouls per 90 and wins 1.57 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Martyn Waghorn?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Martyn Waghorn plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.