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Championship 22/23
MA

Max Aarons

Full-back 93% of 30 recent starts BournemouthChampionship 22/23

Also in: Premier LeagueLa Liga

Next match
Bournemouth at Swansea City›
Sat 10 OctReferee Andrew Kitchen

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 45 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship full-back, 25/26, 2,019 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.30 per 90
30%
3 of 102.4×
Total shots0.60 per 90
50%
5 of 101.4×
Fouls won0.80 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
Fouls committed0.30 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Tackles1.91 per 90
70%
7 of 101.0×
20%
2 of 103.5×
Cards0.20 per 90
20%
2 of 101.3×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Championship games, Max Aarons has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable full-backs

Max Aarons has no Championship record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Europa League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Championship full-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Max AaronsBournemouthUEFA Europa League 60.19 0.97
Danny McNamaraCharlton Athletic 70.33 0.65
Bright Osayi-SamuelBirmingham City 80.56 1.25
Filip LissahSwansea City 80.00 1.34
Alex CochraneBirmingham City 80.27 1.09
Ryan ManningSouthampton 81.27 0.98
These 5, combined 0.49 1.07

Recent matches

The last 10 games Max Aarons featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Blackpool8 May 90 0 2 0 0 0 0
@ West Brom29 Apr 90 0 0 0 0 4 0
Swansea City22 Apr 90 0 1 0 0 2 0
@ Queens Park Rangers19 Apr 87 1 1 0 0 1 0
@ Middlesbrough14 Apr 90 1 1 0 1 2 0
Rotherham United10 Apr 90 0 0 1 3 3 0
@ Blackburn Rovers7 Apr 90 1 1 0 0 3 0
Sheffield United1 Apr 90 0 0 1 1 0 1
@ Stoke City18 Mar 90 0 0 0 3 4 0
@ Huddersfield Town15 Mar 90 0 0 1 0 0 1
Officials on record
Josh Smith 4 games Max Aarons booked in 1 4.13cards/game 1.03×vs league
David Webb 4 games Max Aarons never booked 3.19cards/game 0.80×vs league
Tim Robinson 4 games Max Aarons never booked 4.59cards/game 1.14×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Max Aarons have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Max Aarons has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Max Aarons average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Max Aarons is averaging 0.30 shots on target and 0.60 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Max Aarons get booked?

Max Aarons is averaging 0.20 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Max Aarons commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Max Aarons commits 0.30 fouls per 90 and wins 0.80 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Max Aarons?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Max Aarons plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.