Max Aarons
Over the last 10 Championship games, Max Aarons has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Max Aarons featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackpool8 May | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ West Brom29 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Swansea City22 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Queens Park Rangers19 Apr | 87 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Middlesbrough14 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Rotherham United10 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Blackburn Rovers7 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sheffield United1 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Stoke City18 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Huddersfield Town15 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Max Aarons have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Max Aarons has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Max Aarons average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Max Aarons is averaging 0.30 shots on target and 0.60 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Max Aarons get booked?
Max Aarons is averaging 0.20 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Max Aarons commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Max Aarons commits 0.30 fouls per 90 and wins 0.80 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Max Aarons?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Max Aarons plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.