Nathan Baxter
Goalkeeper 100% of 18 recent starts WatfordChampionship 25/26
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship goalkeeper, 25/26, 1,126 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Nathan Baxter has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 0%, 1+ foul committed in 0%, 1+ foul won in 0%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Nathan Baxter featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Wednesday9 Dec | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Norwich6 Dec | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Birmingham City1 Dec | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Preston North End25 Nov | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Derby County22 Nov | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hull City27 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Millwall22 Sep | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Reading12 Nov | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Cardiff City8 Nov | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Millwall5 Nov | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Nathan Baxter have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Nathan Baxter has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Nathan Baxter average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Nathan Baxter is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.00 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Nathan Baxter get booked?
Nathan Baxter is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Nathan Baxter commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Nathan Baxter commits 0.00 fouls per 90 and wins 0.00 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nathan Baxter?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nathan Baxter plays as a goalkeeper.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.