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Championship · 25/26
NE

Nesta Guinness-Walker

Defender · Reading · Championship 25/26

Over the last 10 Championship games, Nesta Guinness-Walker has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 28 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
10%1 of 10
0.15
20%2 of 10
0.30
80%Hot8 of 10
2.07
40%4 of 10
0.74
10%1 of 10
0.15
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Nesta Guinness-Walker featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Huddersfield Town8 May 4 0 0 1 0 0
Wigan Athletic29 Apr 82 0 0 0 3 0
@ Coventry City22 Apr 90 0 0 1 2 1
Luton19 Apr 90 0 0 0 2 0
Burnley15 Apr 74 0 0 1 1 0
@ Preston North End10 Apr 90 0 1 0 1 0
Birmingham City7 Apr 8 0 0 0 0 0
@ Bristol City1 Apr 61 0 0 0 1 0
Hull City18 Mar 50 1 1 2 1 0
Millwall11 Mar 60 0 0 0 3 0
Officials on record
David Webb 3 games · Nesta Guinness-Walker never booked 3.18cards/game 0.79×vs league
Tim Robinson 3 games · Nesta Guinness-Walker never booked 4.57cards/game 1.14×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Nesta Guinness-Walker have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Nesta Guinness-Walker has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Nesta Guinness-Walker average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Nesta Guinness-Walker is averaging 0.15 shots on target and 0.30 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Nesta Guinness-Walker get booked?

Nesta Guinness-Walker is averaging 0.15 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Nesta Guinness-Walker commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Nesta Guinness-Walker commits 0.74 fouls per 90 and wins 2.07 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nesta Guinness-Walker?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Nesta Guinness-Walker plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.