Nesta Guinness-Walker
Wing-back 67% of 18 recent starts ReadingChampionship 22/23
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship wing-back, 25/26, 718 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Nesta Guinness-Walker has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Nesta Guinness-Walker featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Huddersfield Town8 May | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wigan Athletic29 Apr | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Coventry City22 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Luton19 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Burnley15 Apr | 74 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Preston North End10 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Birmingham City7 Apr | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Bristol City1 Apr | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Hull City18 Mar | 50 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Millwall11 Mar | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees
Frequently asked
How often does Nesta Guinness-Walker have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Nesta Guinness-Walker has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Nesta Guinness-Walker average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Nesta Guinness-Walker is averaging 0.15 shots on target and 0.30 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Nesta Guinness-Walker get booked?
Nesta Guinness-Walker is averaging 0.15 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Nesta Guinness-Walker commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Nesta Guinness-Walker commits 0.74 fouls per 90 and wins 2.07 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nesta Guinness-Walker?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nesta Guinness-Walker plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.