What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with an Eredivisie forward, 25/26, 2,950 appearances
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Picked from 298 selections across 77 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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In 26/27, Adrian Blake has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% of 8 Eredivisie appearances (4 of 8), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 62%, 1+ foul won in 75%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wingers
The closest 5 profiles to Adrian Blake in Eredivisie, 26/27 — drawn from 5 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian BlakeFC Utrecht | 8 | 3.44 | 2.75 |
| Anis Hadj MoussaFeyenoord | 7 | 3.21 | 0.58 |
| Ruben van BommelPSV Eindhoven | 8 | 2.71 | 2.20 |
| Yoann CathlineFC Utrecht | 8 | 2.40 | 1.48 |
| Ivan PerišićPSV Eindhoven | 8 | 2.64 | 0.53 |
| Mathis SurayGo Ahead Eagles | 8 | 1.93 | 0.90 |
| These 5, combined | 2.56 | 1.11 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Adrian Blake featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem II Tilburg11 Oct | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Feyenoord20 Sep | 45 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Excelsior13 Sep | 62 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Go Ahead Eagles8 Sep | 45 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| PSV Eindhoven30 Aug | 29 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Sparta Rotterdam22 Aug | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| AZ Alkmaar15 Aug | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ FC Groningen9 Aug | 28 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ AFC Ajax24 May | 50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| SC Heerenveen21 May | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Eredivisie officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Eredivisie referees
Frequently asked
How often does Adrian Blake have a shot on target?
In 26/27, Adrian Blake has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% of 8 Eredivisie appearances (4 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Adrian Blake average?
Across 8 Eredivisie appearances in 26/27, Adrian Blake is averaging 1.72 shots on target and 3.44 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Adrian Blake get booked?
Adrian Blake is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Adrian Blake commit or win more fouls?
This season Adrian Blake commits 2.75 fouls per 90 and wins 3.78 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Adrian Blake?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Adrian Blake plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.