What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with an Eredivisie forward, 25/26, 2,950 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 298 selections across 77 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Johan Bakayoko has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 0%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wingers
Johan Bakayoko has no Eredivisie record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Bundesliga 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Eredivisie wingers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Johan BakayokoRB LeipzigBundesliga | 20 | 2.77 | 1.27 |
| Ruben van BommelPSV Eindhoven | 8 | 2.71 | 2.20 |
| Anis Hadj MoussaFeyenoord | 7 | 3.21 | 0.58 |
| Ivan PerišićPSV Eindhoven | 8 | 2.64 | 0.53 |
| Mathis SurayGo Ahead Eagles | 8 | 1.93 | 0.90 |
| Yoann CathlineFC Utrecht | 8 | 2.40 | 1.48 |
| These 5, combined | 2.56 | 1.11 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Johan Bakayoko featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heracles Almelo14 May | 45 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Feyenoord11 May | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fortuna Sittard3 May | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ FC Twente24 Apr | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Almere City FC12 Apr | 90 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| @ FC Groningen5 Apr | 23 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| AFC Ajax30 Mar | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ RKC Waalwijk15 Mar | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SC Heerenveen8 Mar | 23 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Go Ahead Eagles1 Mar | 89 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 8 current Eredivisie officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Eredivisie referees
Frequently asked
How often does Johan Bakayoko have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Johan Bakayoko has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Johan Bakayoko average?
Across the last 10 Eredivisie games, Johan Bakayoko is averaging 2.09 shots on target and 3.91 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Johan Bakayoko get booked?
Johan Bakayoko is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Johan Bakayoko commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Johan Bakayoko commits 1.57 fouls per 90 and wins 0.00 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Johan Bakayoko?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Johan Bakayoko plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.