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Bundesliga · 25/26
JO

Johan Bakayoko

Forward · RB Leipzig · Bundesliga 25/26

In 25/26, Johan Bakayoko has hit 1+ shot on target in 35% of 20 Bundesliga appearances (7 of 20), 1+ total shot in 45%, 1+ foul committed in 35%, 1+ foul won in 35%, and been booked in 5% (1 of 20). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 20 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
30%3 of 10
1.39
30%3 of 10
3.25
30%3 of 10
1.86
20%2 of 10
0.93
0%0 of 10
0.00
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
RB Leipzig vs Borussia M'gladbach
Sat 29 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Johan Bakayoko featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ SC Freiburg16 May 10 0 0 0 0 0
1. FC Union Berlin24 Apr 11 1 3 1 0 0
@ Eintracht Frankfurt18 Apr 1 0 0 0 0 0
Borussia M'gladbach11 Apr 24 1 3 0 0 0
@ VfB Stuttgart15 Mar 19 0 0 0 0 0
FC Augsburg7 Mar 29 0 0 1 1 0
VfL Wolfsburg15 Feb 8 0 0 0 0 0
1. FSV Mainz 0531 Jan 10 0 0 0 1 0
@ 1. FC Union Berlin12 Dec 58 0 0 0 2 0
@ Borussia M'gladbach28 Nov 24 1 1 0 0 0
Officials on record
Sascha Stegemann 3 games · Johan Bakayoko never booked 4.02cards/game 0.98×vs league
Sven Jablonski 3 games · Johan Bakayoko never booked 3.70cards/game 0.90×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Johan Bakayoko have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Johan Bakayoko has hit 1+ shot on target in 35% of 20 Bundesliga appearances (7 of 20). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Johan Bakayoko average?

Across 20 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Johan Bakayoko is averaging 1.04 shots on target and 2.77 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Johan Bakayoko get booked?

Johan Bakayoko is averaging 0.12 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Johan Bakayoko commit or win more fouls?

This season Johan Bakayoko commits 1.27 fouls per 90 and wins 1.27 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Johan Bakayoko?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Johan Bakayoko plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.