Johan Bakayoko
Winger 100% of 9 recent starts RB LeipzigBundesliga 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga winger, 25/26, 865 appearances
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In 25/26, Johan Bakayoko has hit 1+ shot on target in 35% of 20 Bundesliga appearances (7 of 20), 1+ total shot in 45%, 1+ foul committed in 35%, 1+ foul won in 35%, and been booked in 5% (1 of 20). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wingers
The closest 5 profiles to Johan Bakayoko in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 28 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Johan BakayokoRB Leipzig | 20 | 2.77 | 1.27 |
| Brajan GrudaRB Leipzig | 13 | 2.62 | 1.19 |
| Rayan PhilippeSC Paderborn 07 | 28 | 2.72 | 1.67 |
| Luca Waldschmidt1. FC Köln | 24 | 3.42 | 1.18 |
| Mathias Honsak1. FC Heidenheim | 27 | 2.21 | 0.79 |
| Linton Maina1. FC Köln | 24 | 1.75 | 0.70 |
| These 5, combined | 2.47 | 1.11 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Johan Bakayoko featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ SV Werder Bremen5 Sep | 63 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Borussia M'gladbach29 Aug | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SC Freiburg16 May | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1. FC Union Berlin24 Apr | 11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Eintracht Frankfurt18 Apr | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Borussia M'gladbach11 Apr | 24 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ VfB Stuttgart15 Mar | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| FC Augsburg7 Mar | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| VfL Wolfsburg15 Feb | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1. FSV Mainz 0531 Jan | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Johan Bakayoko have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Johan Bakayoko has hit 1+ shot on target in 35% of 20 Bundesliga appearances (7 of 20). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Johan Bakayoko average?
Across 20 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Johan Bakayoko is averaging 1.04 shots on target and 2.77 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Johan Bakayoko get booked?
Johan Bakayoko is averaging 0.12 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Johan Bakayoko commit or win more fouls?
This season Johan Bakayoko commits 1.27 fouls per 90 and wins 1.27 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Johan Bakayoko?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Johan Bakayoko plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.