Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Eredivisie 25/26
MI

Miguel Rodríguez

Forward Deportivo AlavésEredivisie 25/26

Also in: La Liga

Next match
Deportivo Alavés at FC Twente›
Sun 18 Oct
Last games
max 46 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with an Eredivisie forward, 25/26, 2,950 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.86 per 90
50%
5 of 101.2×
Total shots3.27 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
Fouls won2.93 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.6×
Fouls committed1.72 per 90
60%
6 of 101.3×
Tackles1.55 per 90
50%
5 of 101.2×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.52 per 90
20%
2 of 102.3×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 298 selections across 77 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Miguel Rodríguez has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

Miguel Rodríguez has no Eredivisie record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Europa League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Eredivisie wingers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Miguel RodríguezDeportivo AlavésUEFA Europa League 81.90 2.04
Yoann CathlineFC Utrecht 82.40 1.48
Anis Hadj MoussaFeyenoord 73.21 0.58
Ruben van BommelPSV Eindhoven 82.71 2.20
Mathis SurayGo Ahead Eagles 81.93 0.90
Ivan PerišićPSV Eindhoven 82.64 0.53
These 5, combined 2.56 1.11

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Miguel Rodríguez featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Heracles Almelo6 Mar 22 0 0 0 2 0 0
AZ Alkmaar1 Mar 13 1 1 1 0 0 0
@ FC Groningen14 Feb 28 0 1 0 2 2 0
Feyenoord8 Feb 17 1 1 2 1 0 2
@ SC Heerenveen1 Feb 18 1 2 0 2 0 0
Sparta Rotterdam25 Jan 90 0 5 3 4 0 0
@ FC Volendam18 Jan 87 1 2 2 2 1 1
PSV Eindhoven21 Dec 90 0 5 0 2 3 0
@ NAC Breda14 Dec 68 0 0 1 2 1 0
FC Twente7 Dec 90 1 2 1 0 2 0
Officials on record
Allard Lindhout 5 games Miguel Rodríguez booked in 2 2.90cards/game 0.91×vs league
Jannick van der Laan 5 games Miguel Rodríguez never booked 3.07cards/game 0.96×vs league
Serdar Gozubuyuk 4 games Miguel Rodríguez booked in 2 3.63cards/game 1.14×vs league
Alex Bos 3 games Miguel Rodríguez booked in 1 3.02cards/game 0.95×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Eredivisie officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Eredivisie referees

Frequently asked

How often does Miguel Rodríguez have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Miguel Rodríguez has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Miguel Rodríguez average?

Across the last 10 Eredivisie games, Miguel Rodríguez is averaging 0.86 shots on target and 3.27 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Miguel Rodríguez get booked?

Miguel Rodríguez is averaging 0.52 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Miguel Rodríguez commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Miguel Rodríguez commits 1.72 fouls per 90 and wins 2.93 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Miguel Rodríguez?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Miguel Rodríguez plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.