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Eredivisie 23/24
YU

Yukinari Sugawara

Defender AZ AlkmaarEredivisie 23/24

Also in: Premier LeagueSerie AChampionshipBundesliga

Next match
AZ Alkmaar at SC Cambuur›
Sun 18 Oct
Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with an Eredivisie defender, 25/26, 3,391 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.61 per 90
40%
4 of 102.7×
Total shots1.33 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 102.2×
Fouls won0.41 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
Fouls committed0.41 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
Tackles1.53 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 100.8×
Goals0.31 per 90
20%
2 of 104.5×
form only
Assists0.31 per 90
30%
3 of 105.7×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Yukinari Sugawara has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Yukinari Sugawara featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
FC Utrecht19 May 90 0 0 1 0 1 0
@ Go Ahead Eagles12 May 90 0 2 0 2 0 0
FC Twente5 May 90 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ NEC Nijmegen28 Apr 90 1 1 0 0 3 1
RKC Waalwijk13 Apr 90 1 2 0 0 3 0
@ PSV Eindhoven6 Apr 79 0 0 0 0 3 0
@ Heracles Almelo3 Apr 90 0 1 1 0 2 0
Vitesse30 Mar 90 1 1 1 1 2 0
@ FC Volendam17 Mar 90 3 3 0 0 0 0
Excelsior10 Mar 83 0 2 1 1 1 0
Officials on record
Danny Makkelie 9 games Yukinari Sugawara booked in 1 3.32cards/game 1.04×vs league
Allard Lindhout 7 games Yukinari Sugawara never booked 2.90cards/game 0.91×vs league
Serdar Gozubuyuk 6 games Yukinari Sugawara booked in 2 3.63cards/game 1.14×vs league
Dennis Higler 5 games Yukinari Sugawara never booked 3.06cards/game 0.96×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 8 current Eredivisie officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Eredivisie referees

Frequently asked

How often does Yukinari Sugawara have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Yukinari Sugawara has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Yukinari Sugawara average?

Across the last 10 Eredivisie games, Yukinari Sugawara is averaging 0.61 shots on target and 1.33 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Yukinari Sugawara get booked?

Yukinari Sugawara is averaging 0.10 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Yukinari Sugawara commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Yukinari Sugawara commits 0.41 fouls per 90 and wins 0.41 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Yukinari Sugawara?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Yukinari Sugawara plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.