La Liga · 24/25
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Athletic Club v Real Valladolid
How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Athletic Club7 – 1
Real Valladolid
23 Feb 2025
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gorka Guruzeta | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 4 | ✓ |
| Maroan Sannadi | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 2 | ✓ |
| Oihan Sancet | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 5 | ✓ |
| Álex Berenguer | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 1 | ✓ |
| Nico Williams | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 3 | ✓ |
| Iñaki Williams | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 4 | ✓ |
| Marcos André | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Nico Williams | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Mario Martín | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Gorka Guruzeta | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Mario Martín | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Mikel Jauregizar | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 2 | ✓ |
| Stanko Jurić | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 3 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 53% | 8 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 44% | 5 cards | ✓ |
| Btts | Yes | 38% | Yes | ✓ |
Dig deeper
Athletic Club & Real Valladolid player stats→
Athletic Club players & stats→
Real Valladolid players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Real Valladolid 1–1 Athletic Club Nov 2024
- Real Valladolid 1–3 Athletic Club Mar 2023
- Athletic Club 3–0 Real Valladolid Nov 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.