La Liga · 25/26

Celta Vigo v Girona FC

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Celta Vigo1 – 1 Girona FC 14 Sep 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Pablo Durán	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Bryan Zaragoza	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Borja Iglesias	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Ferran Jutglà	shots total	1+	91%	6	✓
Iago Aspas	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Bryan Gil	fouls drawn	1+	88%	1	✓
Joel Roca	fouls drawn	1+	86%	0	✗
Borja Iglesias	fouls committed	1+	83%	0	✗
Yáser Asprilla	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
Ilaix Moriba	fouls drawn	1+	79%	1	✓
Bryan Zaragoza	fouls drawn	1+	78%	1	✓
Bryan Gil	shots total	1+	76%	2	✓
Joel Roca	shots total	1+	76%	2	✓
Ilaix Moriba	shots total	1+	76%	3	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	52%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	51%	2 goals	✗
Match cards	O4.5	35%	3 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Celta Vigo & Girona FC player stats→ Celta Vigo players & stats→ Girona FC players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works