La Liga · 25/26

Girona FC v Celta Vigo

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Girona FC1 – 2 Celta Vigo 1 Mar 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Ferran Jutglà	shots total	1+	91%	3	✓
Williot Swedberg	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Bryan Gil	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Azzedine Ounahi	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Ilaix Moriba	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Williot Swedberg	fouls committed	1+	87%	0	✗
Azzedine Ounahi	shots total	1+	80%	4	✓
Fer López	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Williot Swedberg	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Hugo Rincón	fouls drawn	1+	79%	3	✓
Fer López	fouls drawn	1+	76%	2	✓
Vladyslav Vanat	shots total	1+	76%	3	✓
Viktor Tsygankov	shots total	1+	76%	2	✓
Fer López	fouls committed	1+	74%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	57%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	53%	3 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	38%	4 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Girona FC & Celta Vigo player stats→ Girona FC players & stats→ Celta Vigo players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works