La Liga · 24/25

Celta Vigo v Las Palmas

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Celta Vigo1 – 1 Las Palmas 31 Mar 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Alfon González	shots total	1+	92%	6	✓
Fábio Silva	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Sandro Ramírez	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Ilaix Moriba	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Borja Iglesias	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Fábio Silva	fouls drawn	1+	86%	4	✓
Oli McBurnie	fouls committed	1+	83%	0	✗
Dário Essugo	fouls committed	1+	83%	1	✓
Fábio Silva	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓
Alberto Moleiro	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Borja Iglesias	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
Oli McBurnie	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Sandro Ramírez	fouls drawn	1+	79%	2	✓
Alfon González	fouls drawn	1+	78%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	70%	3 cards	✗
Match goals	O2.5	54%	2 goals	✗
Btts	Yes	46%	Yes	✓

Dig deeper

Celta Vigo & Las Palmas player stats→ Celta Vigo players & stats→ Las Palmas players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works