La Liga · 24/25
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Las Palmas v Celta Vigo
How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Las Palmas0 – 1
Celta Vigo
5 Oct 2024
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 8 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fábio Silva | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 3 | ✓ |
| Marc Cardona | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Anastasios Douvikas | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Borja Iglesias | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 3 | ✓ |
| Iago Aspas | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Anastasios Douvikas | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Adnan Januzaj | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ilaix Moriba | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Williot Swedberg | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jaime Mata | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 2 | ✓ |
| Viti Rozada | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Fábio Silva | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Marc Cardona | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ilaix Moriba | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 53% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 49% | 1 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 35% | 11 cards | ✓ |
Dig deeper
Las Palmas & Celta Vigo player stats→
Las Palmas players & stats→
Celta Vigo players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Celta Vigo 1–1 Las Palmas Mar 2025
- Celta Vigo 4–1 Las Palmas Apr 2024
- Las Palmas 2–1 Celta Vigo Oct 2023
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.