La Liga · 24/25

Las Palmas v Rayo Vallecano

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Las Palmas0 – 1 Rayo Vallecano 9 May 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Óscar Valentín	fouls committed	1+	100%	3	✓
Jaime Mata	shots total	1+	92%	0	✗
Isi Palazón	shots total	1+	91%	3	✓
Adrián Embarba	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Álvaro García	shots total	1+	91%	4	✓
Sandro Ramírez	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Adnan Januzaj	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Jaime Mata	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Isi Palazón	fouls drawn	1+	88%	3	✓
Jaime Mata	fouls committed	1+	87%	1	✓
Sandro Ramírez	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Adnan Januzaj	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Jorge de Frutos	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
Pedro Díaz	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	60%	5 cards	✓
Btts	Yes	50%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	44%	1 goals	✗

Dig deeper

Las Palmas & Rayo Vallecano player stats→ Las Palmas players & stats→ Rayo Vallecano players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works