Rayo Vallecano v Las Palmas
How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isi Palazón | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 4 | ✓ |
| Sergio Camello | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 4 | ✓ |
| Fábio Silva | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Isi Palazón | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Fábio Silva | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| José Campaña | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Sandro Ramírez | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Manuel Fuster | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Gerard Gumbau | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 2 | ✓ |
| Óscar Valentín | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Fábio Silva | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jorge de Frutos | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 4 | ✓ |
| Alberto Moleiro | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Sandro Ramírez | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 56% | 4 cards | ✗ |
| Btts | Yes | 40% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 40% | 4 goals | ✓ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Las Palmas 0–1 Rayo Vallecano May 2025
- Rayo Vallecano 0–2 Las Palmas Jan 2024
- Las Palmas 0–1 Rayo Vallecano Oct 2023
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.