La Liga · 24/25

Real Valladolid v Valencia

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Real Valladolid1 – 0 Valencia 13 Dec 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Rafa Mir	shots total	1+	98%	2	✓
Sergi Canós	shots total	1+	94%	0	✗
Iván Sánchez	fouls drawn	1+	93%	2	✓
Hugo Duro	shots total	1+	91%	3	✓
Marcos André	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Hugo Duro	fouls drawn	1+	89%	3	✓
Mario Martín	fouls drawn	1+	88%	1	✓
Anuar	fouls drawn	1+	88%	1	✓
Kike Pérez	fouls drawn	1+	88%	2	✓
Kike Pérez	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Lucas Rosa	fouls committed	1+	83%	1	✓
Mario Martín	fouls committed	1+	83%	0	✗
Sergi Canós	fouls committed	1+	83%	1	✓
Javier Guerra	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	52%	No	✗
Match cards	O4.5	52%	7 cards	✓
Match goals	O2.5	46%	1 goals	✗

Dig deeper

Real Valladolid & Valencia player stats→ Real Valladolid players & stats→ Valencia players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works