What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a La Liga striker, 25/26, 1,664 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
Over the last 10 La Liga games, Cyle Larin has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
Cyle Larin has no La Liga record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Championship 26/27 season. These are the closest 5 La Liga strikers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cyle LarinSouthamptonChampionship | 8 | 4.97 | 2.11 |
| Kylian MbappéReal Madrid | 7 | 5.86 | 1.14 |
| Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano | 7 | 3.64 | 1.53 |
| Roberto FernándezEspanyol | 8 | 2.46 | 1.55 |
| Ante BudimirOsasuna | 7 | 3.23 | 1.79 |
| Vinícius JúniorReal Madrid | 7 | 3.50 | 0.96 |
| These 5, combined | 3.74 | 1.38 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Cyle Larin featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Rayo Vallecano24 May | 26 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Getafe18 May | 31 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Real Madrid14 May | 59 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Real Valladolid10 May | 24 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Girona FC5 May | 73 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ FC Barcelona22 Apr | 86 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Leganés19 Apr | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Real Sociedad12 Apr | 79 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Celta Vigo5 Apr | 53 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Athletic Club9 Mar | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Cyle Larin have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 La Liga games, Cyle Larin has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Cyle Larin average?
Across the last 10 La Liga games, Cyle Larin is averaging 0.68 shots on target and 2.03 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Cyle Larin get booked?
Cyle Larin is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Cyle Larin commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Cyle Larin commits 1.86 fouls per 90 and wins 1.18 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Cyle Larin?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Cyle Larin plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.