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Championship · 25/26
CY

Cyle Larin

Forward · Southampton · Championship 25/26

In 25/26, Cyle Larin has hit 1+ shot on target in 61% of 18 Championship appearances (11 of 18), 1+ total shot in 83%, 1+ foul committed in 61%, 1+ foul won in 33%, and been booked in 22% (4 of 18). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 18 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
70%7 of 10
1.79
90%Hot9 of 10
3.10
20%2 of 10
0.65
70%7 of 10
1.96
40%4 of 10
0.65
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Southampton at Watford
Sun 16 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Cyle Larin featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Middlesbrough12 May 36 1 1 2 0 1
@ Middlesbrough9 May 60 0 1 2 0 1
@ Preston North End2 May 22 1 2 1 0 0
Ipswich28 Apr 81 3 5 0 3 0
Bristol City21 Apr 90 1 2 3 1 1
@ Swansea City18 Apr 22 0 0 0 0 0
Blackburn Rovers14 Apr 90 2 2 0 0 0
Derby County11 Apr 26 0 1 1 0 1
@ Wrexham7 Apr 66 2 4 2 0 0
Oxford United21 Mar 59 1 1 1 0 0

Frequently asked

How often does Cyle Larin have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Cyle Larin has hit 1+ shot on target in 61% of 18 Championship appearances (11 of 18). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Cyle Larin average?

Across 18 Championship appearances in 25/26, Cyle Larin is averaging 1.42 shots on target and 2.56 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Cyle Larin get booked?

Cyle Larin is averaging 0.38 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Cyle Larin commit or win more fouls?

This season Cyle Larin commits 1.90 fouls per 90 and wins 1.04 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Cyle Larin?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Cyle Larin plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.