Valentín Castellanos
Striker 100% of 6 recent starts West HamChampionship 26/27
Also in: Premier LeagueLa LigaSerie A
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 8 games
Compared with a Championship striker, 25/26, 2,430 appearances
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In 26/27, Valentín Castellanos has hit 1+ shot on target in 25% of 8 Championship appearances (2 of 8), 1+ total shot in 88%, 1+ foul committed in 100%, 1+ foul won in 62%, and been booked in 38% (3 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Valentín Castellanos in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 18 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valentín CastellanosWest Ham United | 8 | 2.97 | 1.98 |
| Jimmy MorganWest Bromwich Albion | 8 | 1.78 | 2.07 |
| Rumarn BurrellQueens Park Rangers | 8 | 2.27 | 0.91 |
| Tyreece CampbellCharlton Athletic | 8 | 1.79 | 1.10 |
| Will LankshearMiddlesbrough | 8 | 3.46 | 1.86 |
| Lorent TolajBristol City | 8 | 4.39 | 2.93 |
| These 5, combined | 2.71 | 1.75 |
Recent matches
The last 8 games Valentín Castellanos featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queens Park Rangers9 Oct | 90 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Millwall19 Sep | 89 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Wrexham11 Sep | 90 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Derby County5 Sep | 64 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Wolves1 Sep | 34 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Watford29 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Charlton Athletic22 Aug | 90 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| @ Burnley16 Aug | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
Frequently asked
How often does Valentín Castellanos have a shot on target?
In 26/27, Valentín Castellanos has hit 1+ shot on target in 25% of 8 Championship appearances (2 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Valentín Castellanos average?
Across 8 Championship appearances in 26/27, Valentín Castellanos is averaging 0.71 shots on target and 2.97 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Valentín Castellanos get booked?
Valentín Castellanos is averaging 0.42 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Valentín Castellanos commit or win more fouls?
This season Valentín Castellanos commits 1.98 fouls per 90 and wins 1.70 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Valentín Castellanos?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Valentín Castellanos plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.