Valentín Castellanos
Striker 100% of 30 recent starts West HamLa Liga 22/23
Also in: Premier LeagueSerie AChampionship
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a La Liga striker, 25/26, 1,664 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
Over the last 10 La Liga games, Valentín Castellanos has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 40% (4 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
Valentín Castellanos has no La Liga record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Championship 26/27 season. These are the closest 5 La Liga strikers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valentín CastellanosWest Ham UnitedChampionship | 8 | 2.97 | 1.98 |
| ChupeteMálaga CF | 8 | 2.21 | 1.52 |
| Vinícius JúniorReal Madrid | 7 | 3.50 | 0.96 |
| Enes ÜnalGetafe | 7 | 1.65 | 1.65 |
| Roberto FernándezEspanyol | 8 | 2.46 | 1.55 |
| Mikel OyarzabalReal Sociedad | 7 | 2.07 | 0.75 |
| These 5, combined | 2.39 | 1.32 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Valentín Castellanos featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Osasuna4 Jun | 65 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Real Betis28 May | 90 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Celta Vigo23 May | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Villarreal20 May | 59 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mallorca4 May | 89 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Sevilla1 May | 73 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Real Madrid25 Apr | 72 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Elche16 Apr | 77 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| @ FC Barcelona10 Apr | 60 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Espanyol1 Apr | 90 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Valentín Castellanos have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 La Liga games, Valentín Castellanos has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Valentín Castellanos average?
Across the last 10 La Liga games, Valentín Castellanos is averaging 1.69 shots on target and 3.65 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Valentín Castellanos get booked?
Valentín Castellanos is averaging 0.52 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Valentín Castellanos commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Valentín Castellanos commits 1.69 fouls per 90 and wins 1.43 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Valentín Castellanos?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Valentín Castellanos plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.