Valentín Castellanos
Striker 100% of 17 recent starts West HamPremier League 25/26
Also in: La LigaSerie AChampionship
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Valentín Castellanos has hit 1+ shot on target in 80% (8 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 40% (4 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Valentín Castellanos in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 43 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valentín CastellanosWest Ham United | 18 | 3.23 | 2.06 |
| Zian FlemmingIpswich Town | 29 | 2.64 | 2.49 |
| Igor ThiagoBrentford | 38 | 2.30 | 2.00 |
| Ollie WatkinsAston Villa | 37 | 2.62 | 1.10 |
| Liam DelapNottingham Forest | 28 | 2.84 | 1.98 |
| Viktor GyökeresArsenal | 36 | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| These 5, combined | 2.47 | 1.73 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Valentín Castellanos featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds24 May | 88 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Newcastle17 May | 64 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Arsenal10 May | 67 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Brentford2 May | 65 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Everton25 Apr | 79 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| @ Crystal Palace20 Apr | 84 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Wolves10 Apr | 82 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Aston Villa22 Mar | 45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Man City14 Mar | 75 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Fulham4 Mar | 88 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Premier League official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Valentín Castellanos have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Valentín Castellanos has hit 1+ shot on target in 80% (8 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Valentín Castellanos average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Valentín Castellanos is averaging 1.83 shots on target and 3.66 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Valentín Castellanos get booked?
Valentín Castellanos is averaging 0.49 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Valentín Castellanos commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Valentín Castellanos commits 1.71 fouls per 90 and wins 1.34 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Valentín Castellanos?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Valentín Castellanos plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.