Valentín Castellanos
In 25/26, Valentín Castellanos has hit 1+ shot on target in 72% of his 18 Premier League appearances (13 of 18), 1+ total shot in 89%, 1+ foul committed in 83%, and 1+ foul won in 44%. He has been booked in 33% (6 of 18). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Valentín Castellanos featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds24 May | 88 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| @ Newcastle17 May | 64 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Arsenal10 May | 67 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Brentford2 May | 65 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Everton25 Apr | 79 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Crystal Palace20 Apr | 84 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Wolves10 Apr | 82 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Aston Villa22 Mar | 45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Man City14 Mar | 75 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Fulham4 Mar | 88 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Valentín Castellanos have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Valentín Castellanos has hit 1+ shot on target in 72% of his 18 Premier League appearances (13 of 18). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Valentín Castellanos average?
Across 18 Premier League appearances in 25/26, Valentín Castellanos is averaging 1.42 shots on target and 3.23 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Valentín Castellanos get booked?
Valentín Castellanos is averaging 0.39 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Valentín Castellanos commit or win more fouls?
This season Valentín Castellanos commits 2.06 fouls per 90 and wins 1.03 — more than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Valentín Castellanos?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Valentín Castellanos plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.