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Serie A · 25/26
VA

Valentín Castellanos

Forward · Lazio · Serie A 25/26

In 25/26, Valentín Castellanos has hit 1+ shot on target in 64% of his 11 Serie A appearances (7 of 11), 1+ total shot in 73%, 1+ foul committed in 55%, and 1+ foul won in 82%. He has been booked in 18% (2 of 11). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
70%7 of 10
1.19
80%Hot8 of 10
2.98
80%Hot8 of 10
2.53
50%5 of 10
1.19
10%1 of 10
0.15
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Lazio at Bologna
Sat 22 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Valentín Castellanos featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Udinese27 Dec 16 0 0 0 0 0
Cremonese20 Dec 90 1 1 2 3 0
@ Parma13 Dec 70 0 4 3 4 0
Bologna7 Dec 60 2 2 0 1 0
@ AC Milan29 Nov 28 1 1 0 1 0
Torino4 Oct 90 1 2 1 2 1
@ Genoa29 Sep 84 1 1 1 0 0
AS Roma21 Sep 28 1 3 1 1 0
@ Sassuolo14 Sep 60 0 0 0 2 0
Hellas Verona31 Aug 78 1 6 0 3 0

Frequently asked

How often does Valentín Castellanos have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Valentín Castellanos has hit 1+ shot on target in 64% of his 11 Serie A appearances (7 of 11). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Valentín Castellanos average?

Across 11 Serie A appearances in 25/26, Valentín Castellanos is averaging 1.04 shots on target and 2.59 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Valentín Castellanos get booked?

Valentín Castellanos is averaging 0.26 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Valentín Castellanos commit or win more fouls?

This season Valentín Castellanos commits 1.17 fouls per 90 and wins 2.33 — fewer than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Valentín Castellanos?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Valentín Castellanos plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.