Valentín Castellanos
Striker 100% of 30 recent starts West HamSerie A 25/26
Also in: Premier LeagueLa LigaChampionship
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Valentín Castellanos has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Valentín Castellanos in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 62 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valentín CastellanosWest Ham United | 11 | 2.59 | 1.17 |
| Federico BonazzoliCremonese | 35 | 2.68 | 0.93 |
| Keinan DavisUdinese | 30 | 2.16 | 1.77 |
| Rafael LeãoGalatasaray | 29 | 3.05 | 0.92 |
| Santiago GiménezFC Porto | 16 | 2.71 | 1.00 |
| Santiago CastroAS Roma | 35 | 2.40 | 1.33 |
| These 5, combined | 2.57 | 1.21 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Valentín Castellanos featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Udinese27 Dec | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Cremonese20 Dec | 90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Parma13 Dec | 70 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Bologna7 Dec | 60 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ AC Milan29 Nov | 28 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Torino4 Oct | 90 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| @ Genoa29 Sep | 84 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| AS Roma21 Sep | 28 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Sassuolo14 Sep | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Hellas Verona31 Aug | 78 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 14 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Valentín Castellanos have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Valentín Castellanos has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Valentín Castellanos average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Valentín Castellanos is averaging 1.19 shots on target and 2.98 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Valentín Castellanos get booked?
Valentín Castellanos is averaging 0.15 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Valentín Castellanos commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Valentín Castellanos commits 1.19 fouls per 90 and wins 2.53 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Valentín Castellanos?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Valentín Castellanos plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.