What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Keinan Davis has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Keinan Davis in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 62 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keinan DavisUdinese | 30 | 2.16 | 1.77 |
| Santiago CastroAS Roma | 35 | 2.40 | 1.33 |
| M'bala NzolaCagliari | 30 | 2.31 | 1.72 |
| Valentín CastellanosWest Ham United | 11 | 2.59 | 1.17 |
| Lorenzo ColomboGenoa | 38 | 2.52 | 1.57 |
| Roberto PiccoliBologna | 32 | 2.49 | 1.80 |
| These 5, combined | 2.45 | 1.54 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Keinan Davis featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari19 Sep | 37 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Inter14 Sep | 80 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Lazio7 Sep | 76 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Monza29 Aug | 68 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SSC Napoli24 May | 80 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cremonese17 May | 71 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Cagliari9 May | 25 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ AC Milan11 Apr | 76 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Genoa20 Mar | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Juventus14 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Keinan Davis have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Keinan Davis has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Keinan Davis average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Keinan Davis is averaging 1.04 shots on target and 1.82 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Keinan Davis get booked?
Keinan Davis is averaging 0.26 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Keinan Davis commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Keinan Davis commits 1.17 fouls per 90 and wins 0.65 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Keinan Davis?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Keinan Davis plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.