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Championship · 25/26
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Keinan Davis

Forward · Watford · Championship 25/26

Over the last 10 Championship games, Keinan Davis has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 40% (4 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 34 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
50%5 of 10
0.62
70%7 of 10
1.49
50%5 of 10
0.87
70%7 of 10
1.86
40%4 of 10
0.50
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Watford vs Southampton
Sun 16 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Keinan Davis featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Stoke City8 May 89 1 3 3 0 0
@ Sunderland29 Apr 90 0 2 3 3 1
@ Hull City22 Apr 36 0 0 0 1 0
Cardiff City19 Apr 90 1 2 2 0 1
Bristol City15 Apr 62 0 1 1 1 0
@ Luton1 Apr 69 0 0 1 0 0
Wigan Athletic18 Mar 90 1 1 2 0 1
Birmingham City14 Mar 66 1 1 3 1 1
@ Queens Park Rangers11 Mar 90 0 0 0 1 0
Preston North End4 Mar 45 1 2 0 0 0
Officials on record
Leigh Doughty 4 games · Keinan Davis never booked 4.54cards/game 1.13×vs league
David Webb 3 games · Keinan Davis booked in 1 3.18cards/game 0.79×vs league
James Linington 3 games · Keinan Davis never booked 4.09cards/game 1.02×vs league
Josh Smith 3 games · Keinan Davis never booked 4.09cards/game 1.02×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Keinan Davis have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Keinan Davis has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Keinan Davis average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Keinan Davis is averaging 0.62 shots on target and 1.49 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Keinan Davis get booked?

Keinan Davis is averaging 0.50 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Keinan Davis commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Keinan Davis commits 1.86 fouls per 90 and wins 0.87 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Keinan Davis?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Keinan Davis plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.