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Serie A 26/27
JE

Jesper Karlström

Central midfielder 100% of 30 recent starts UdineseSerie A 26/27

Next match
Udinese at Torino›
Mon 12 OctReferee Valerio Crezzini

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A central midfielder, 25/26, 2,920 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.31 per 90
30%
3 of 101.6×
8.00bet365Edge
Total shots0.72 per 90
70%
7 of 101.4×
2.10bet365Edge
Fouls won0.72 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
1.80PPEdge
Fouls committed1.45 per 90
70%
7 of 101.3×
1.44bet365Edge
Tackles1.24 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.3×
20%
2 of 102.1×
Cards0.41 per 90
40%
4 of 102.9×
4.50bet365Edge
Goals0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 101.6×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Jesper Karlström has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 40% (4 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Jesper Karlström in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 106 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Jesper KarlströmUdinese 360.57 1.17
Luka ModrićAC Milan 340.64 0.73
Michel AebischerPisa 350.59 1.40
Nemanja MatićSassuolo 340.37 0.81
Máximo PerroneComo 360.59 1.41
Remo FreulerBologna 290.32 0.77
These 5, combined 0.51 1.04

Recent matches

The last 10 games Jesper Karlström featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Cagliari19 Sep 90 0 1 1 1 1 1
@ Inter14 Sep 90 1 1 0 0 1 0
Lazio7 Sep 90 1 1 3 0 3 1
@ Monza29 Aug 90 0 0 0 1 0 0
Como22 Aug 90 0 0 1 0 2 0
@ SSC Napoli24 May 59 1 1 2 0 2 1
Cremonese17 May 90 0 1 0 2 0 0
@ Cagliari9 May 90 0 0 1 2 1 0
Parma18 Apr 90 0 1 1 1 1 1
@ AC Milan11 Apr 90 0 1 5 0 1 0
Officials on record
Fabio Maresca 5 games Jesper Karlström booked in 2 5.35cards/game 1.28×vs league
Gianluca Manganiello 5 games Jesper Karlström booked in 2 3.51cards/game 0.84×vs league
Daniele Doveri 4 games Jesper Karlström never booked 3.34cards/game 0.80×vs league
Maurizio Mariani 4 games Jesper Karlström never booked 4.13cards/game 0.99×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Jesper Karlström have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Jesper Karlström has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Jesper Karlström average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Jesper Karlström is averaging 0.31 shots on target and 0.72 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Jesper Karlström get booked?

Jesper Karlström is averaging 0.41 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Jesper Karlström commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Jesper Karlström commits 1.45 fouls per 90 and wins 0.72 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Jesper Karlström?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Jesper Karlström plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.