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Championship 26/27
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Lorent Tolaj

Striker 100% of 7 recent starts Bristol CityChampionship 26/27

Next match
Bristol City at Charlton Athletic›
Sat 10 OctReferee Tom Reeves

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 8 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 8 games

Compared with a Championship striker, 25/26, 2,430 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.81 per 90
50%
4 of 81.3×
1.43MGMEdge
Total shots4.39 per 90
100%Hot
8 of 81.5×
1.04bet365Edge
Fouls won2.12 per 90
75%Hot
6 of 81.7×
Fouls committed2.93 per 90
100%Hot
8 of 81.9×
Tackles0.33 per 90
25%
2 of 80.8×
12%
1 of 81.6×
Cards0.16 per 90
12%
1 of 81.4×
7.00bet365Edge
Goals0.33 per 90
25%
2 of 81.5×
form only
Assists0.16 per 90
12%
1 of 82.4×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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In 26/27, Lorent Tolaj has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% of 8 Championship appearances (4 of 8), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 100%, 1+ foul won in 75%, and been booked in 12% (1 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 8

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Lorent Tolaj in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 18 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Lorent TolajBristol City 84.39 2.93
Valentín CastellanosWest Ham United 82.97 1.98
Cyle LarinSouthampton 84.97 2.11
August PriskeBirmingham City 72.53 1.74
Rumarn BurrellQueens Park Rangers 82.27 0.91
Jimmy MorganWest Bromwich Albion 81.78 2.07
These 5, combined 2.90 1.77

Recent matches

The last 8 games Lorent Tolaj featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Watford18 Sep 27 1 3 1 3 0 0
Lincoln City15 Sep 76 0 3 5 3 0 1
@ Southampton12 Sep 83 1 7 1 0 1 0
@ Burnley5 Sep 80 0 4 2 3 1 0
@ Preston North End1 Sep 84 2 4 3 1 0 0
Portsmouth29 Aug 74 1 2 1 0 0 0
@ Birmingham City22 Aug 65 0 2 2 2 0 0
Millwall15 Aug 64 0 2 3 1 0 0

Frequently asked

How often does Lorent Tolaj have a shot on target?

In 26/27, Lorent Tolaj has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% of 8 Championship appearances (4 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Lorent Tolaj average?

Across 8 Championship appearances in 26/27, Lorent Tolaj is averaging 0.81 shots on target and 4.39 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Lorent Tolaj get booked?

Lorent Tolaj is averaging 0.16 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Lorent Tolaj commit or win more fouls?

This season Lorent Tolaj commits 2.93 fouls per 90 and wins 2.12 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lorent Tolaj?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Lorent Tolaj plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.