What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 3 games
Compared with a La Liga forward, 25/26, 2,676 appearances
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Over the last 3 La Liga games, Gabriel Jesus has hit 1+ shot on target in 33% (1 of 3), 1+ total shot in 67%, 1+ foul committed in 33%, 1+ foul won in 0%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 3). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Gabriel Jesus in La Liga, 26/27 — drawn from 13 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel JesusFC Barcelona | 3 | 6.75 | 2.25 |
| Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano | 7 | 3.64 | 1.53 |
| Fernando NiñoElche | 7 | 2.11 | 0.77 |
| Ante BudimirOsasuna | 7 | 3.23 | 1.79 |
| Mikel OyarzabalReal Sociedad | 7 | 2.07 | 0.75 |
| Lucas BoyéDeportivo Alavés | 6 | 2.98 | 2.79 |
| These 5, combined | 2.81 | 1.53 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 3 games Gabriel Jesus featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Sevilla19 Sep | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Real Racing Club16 Sep | 21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Valencia6 Sep | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Gabriel Jesus have a shot on target?
Over the last 3 La Liga games, Gabriel Jesus has hit 1+ shot on target in 33% (1 of 3). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Gabriel Jesus average?
Across the last 3 La Liga games, Gabriel Jesus is averaging 2.25 shots on target and 6.75 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Gabriel Jesus get booked?
Gabriel Jesus is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 3 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Gabriel Jesus commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 3 games Gabriel Jesus commits 2.25 fouls per 90 and wins 0.00 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Gabriel Jesus?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Gabriel Jesus plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.