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La Liga 26/27
HU

Hugo Duro

Striker 100% of 30 recent starts ValenciaLa Liga 26/27

Next match
Valencia at Real Racing Club›
Sun 11 Oct

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a La Liga striker, 25/26, 1,664 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.19 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
1.60MGMEdge
Total shots1.30 per 90
40%
4 of 100.6×
1.08bet365Edge
Fouls won2.04 per 90
70%
7 of 101.3×
1.10PPEdge
Fouls committed0.93 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
1.44PPEdge
Tackles0.56 per 90
30%
3 of 100.8×
0%
0 of 8
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
5.00bet365Edge
Goals0.19 per 90
10%
1 of 100.4×
form only
Assists0.19 per 90
10%
1 of 101.7×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Hugo Duro has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Hugo Duro in La Liga, 26/27 — drawn from 13 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Hugo DuroValencia 71.65 0.66
Mikel OyarzabalReal Sociedad 72.07 0.75
Arnaut DanjumaValencia 72.57 1.03
Fernando NiñoElche 72.11 0.77
Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano 73.64 1.53
Martín SatrianoGetafe 72.48 2.15
These 5, combined 2.57 1.27

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Hugo Duro featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Real Sociedad20 Sep 82 0 3 1 1 1 0
@ Deportivo Alavés15 Sep 63 0 2 0 2 1 0
@ Sevilla11 Sep 15 0 0 0 1 0 0
FC Barcelona6 Sep 14 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Deportivo de A Coruña30 Aug 30 0 0 0 0 0 0
Celta Vigo23 Aug 13 0 0 1 0 0 0
Real Betis16 Aug 55 0 0 0 2 0 0
FC Barcelona23 May 80 0 1 1 2 1 0
@ Real Sociedad17 May 73 1 1 1 1 0 0
Rayo Vallecano14 May 61 0 0 1 2 0 0
Officials on record
Jesus Gil Manzano 13 games Hugo Duro booked in 2 5.31cards/game 1.09×vs league
Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias 11 games Hugo Duro never booked 4.35cards/game 0.90×vs league
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea 10 games Hugo Duro booked in 1 4.32cards/game 0.89×vs league
José Luis Munuera Montero 9 games Hugo Duro booked in 1 4.96cards/game 1.02×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 14 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Hugo Duro have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Hugo Duro has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Hugo Duro average?

Across the last 10 La Liga games, Hugo Duro is averaging 0.19 shots on target and 1.30 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Hugo Duro get booked?

Hugo Duro is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Hugo Duro commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Hugo Duro commits 0.93 fouls per 90 and wins 2.04 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Hugo Duro?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Hugo Duro plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.