SharpXI is in beta — updated daily. Spot something off? Tell us →In beta — updated daily. Tell us →
SharpXI© Join the waitlist
Premier League · 25/26
GA

Gabriel Jesus

Forward · Arsenal · Premier League 25/26

In 25/26, Gabriel Jesus has hit 1+ shot on target in 64% of his 14 Premier League appearances (9 of 14), 1+ total shot in 86%, 1+ foul committed in 36%, and 1+ foul won in 7%. He has been booked in 21% (3 of 14). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
70%7 of 10
2.54
80%Hot8 of 10
3.55
0%0 of 10
0.00
40%4 of 10
2.03
20%2 of 10
0.51
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Arsenal vs Coventry City
Fri 21 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Gabriel Jesus featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Crystal Palace24 May 75 2 4 3 0 1
Fulham2 May 26 0 0 0 0 0
Bournemouth11 Apr 14 1 1 0 0 0
@ Wolves18 Feb 25 0 0 1 0 1
Sunderland7 Feb 60 1 1 0 0 0
@ Leeds31 Jan 14 3 4 0 0 0
Man Utd25 Jan 58 0 1 2 0 0
@ Nottingham Forest17 Jan 33 1 1 0 0 0
Liverpool8 Jan 26 1 1 2 0 0
@ Bournemouth3 Jan 24 1 1 0 0 0

Frequently asked

How often does Gabriel Jesus have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Gabriel Jesus has hit 1+ shot on target in 64% of his 14 Premier League appearances (9 of 14). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Gabriel Jesus average?

Across 14 Premier League appearances in 25/26, Gabriel Jesus is averaging 2.57 shots on target and 4.06 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Gabriel Jesus get booked?

Gabriel Jesus is averaging 0.64 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Gabriel Jesus commit or win more fouls?

This season Gabriel Jesus commits 1.92 fouls per 90 and wins 0.21 — more than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Gabriel Jesus?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Gabriel Jesus plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.