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SharpXI©
La Liga 26/27
HU

Hugo Álvarez

Wing-back 47% of 30 recent starts Celta VigoLa Liga 26/27

Next match
Celta Vigo at Elche›
Sun 11 Oct

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a La Liga wing-back, 25/26, 443 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.57 per 90
20%
2 of 101.3×
2.60MGMEdge
Total shots0.96 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
1.33bet365Edge
Fouls won1.34 per 90
50%
5 of 100.9×
1.40bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.34 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
1.53PPEdge
Tackles0.77 per 90
20%
2 of 100.3×
0%
0 of 9
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
6.00bet365Edge
Goals0.19 per 90
10%
1 of 102.0×
form only
Assists0.57 per 90
20%
2 of 102.3×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Hugo Álvarez has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wing-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Hugo Álvarez in La Liga, 26/27 — drawn from 8 wing-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Hugo ÁlvarezCelta Vigo 50.32 1.94
Abel BretonesOsasuna 70.34 1.70
Buba SangaréElche 70.17 1.17
Sergio CarreiraCelta Vigo 70.79 0.79
Germán ValeraElche 70.47 0.79
Ángel PérezDeportivo Alavés 71.65 0.73
These 5, combined 0.66 1.04

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Hugo Álvarez featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Real Racing Club19 Sep 90 0 0 4 1 3 0
Málaga CF13 Sep 74 0 1 0 2 0 0
Athletic Club30 Aug 33 0 0 2 1 0 0
Osasuna27 Aug 25 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Valencia23 Aug 57 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sevilla23 May 25 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ Athletic Club17 May 16 0 0 0 0 0 0
Levante UD12 May 66 2 2 0 0 0 0
@ Atlético Madrid9 May 13 0 0 1 2 0 0
Elche3 May 71 1 1 0 1 1 0
Officials on record
Francisco Hernandez Maeso 6 games Hugo Álvarez booked in 2 4.26cards/game 0.88×vs league
José María Sánchez Martínez 5 games Hugo Álvarez booked in 2 5.32cards/game 1.09×vs league
Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias 5 games Hugo Álvarez booked in 1 4.35cards/game 0.90×vs league
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea 5 games Hugo Álvarez booked in 1 4.32cards/game 0.89×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 14 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Hugo Álvarez have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Hugo Álvarez has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Hugo Álvarez average?

Across the last 10 La Liga games, Hugo Álvarez is averaging 0.57 shots on target and 0.96 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Hugo Álvarez get booked?

Hugo Álvarez is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Hugo Álvarez commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Hugo Álvarez commits 1.34 fouls per 90 and wins 1.34 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Hugo Álvarez?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Hugo Álvarez plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.