What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a La Liga striker, 25/26, 1,664 appearances
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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Lucas Beltrán has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Lucas Beltrán featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona FC25 Apr | 65 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Mallorca21 Apr | 60 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Elche11 Apr | 81 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Celta Vigo5 Apr | 27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sevilla21 Mar | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Real Oviedo14 Mar | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Levante UD15 Feb | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Real Madrid8 Feb | 82 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Real Betis1 Feb | 72 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Espanyol24 Jan | 90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Lucas Beltrán have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 La Liga games, Lucas Beltrán has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Lucas Beltrán average?
Across the last 10 La Liga games, Lucas Beltrán is averaging 0.30 shots on target and 2.10 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Lucas Beltrán get booked?
Lucas Beltrán is averaging 0.15 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Lucas Beltrán commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Lucas Beltrán commits 1.80 fouls per 90 and wins 2.55 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lucas Beltrán?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Lucas Beltrán plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.