What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A attacking midfielder, 25/26, 694 appearances
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Lucas Beltrán has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Lucas Beltrán featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Udinese25 May | 85 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| @ Venezia12 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| @ AS Roma4 May | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Empoli27 Apr | 70 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Cagliari23 Apr | 86 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Parma13 Apr | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ AC Milan5 Apr | 31 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Atalanta30 Mar | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Juventus16 Mar | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ SSC Napoli9 Mar | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Lucas Beltrán have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Lucas Beltrán has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Lucas Beltrán average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Lucas Beltrán is averaging 0.41 shots on target and 1.23 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Lucas Beltrán get booked?
Lucas Beltrán is averaging 0.62 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Lucas Beltrán commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Lucas Beltrán commits 2.67 fouls per 90 and wins 3.28 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lucas Beltrán?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Lucas Beltrán plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.