What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a La Liga central midfielder, 25/26, 2,700 appearances
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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Luka Modrić has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable central midfielders
Luka Modrić has no La Liga record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Serie A 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 La Liga central midfielders by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luka ModrićAC MilanSerie A | 34 | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| Miguel RománCelta Vigo | 7 | 1.09 | 0.47 |
| PepeluValencia | 7 | 0.32 | 0.63 |
| PedriFC Barcelona | 7 | 1.08 | 0.18 |
| Mario SorianoDeportivo de A Coruña | 7 | 1.24 | 0.89 |
| Oriol ReyLevante UD | 6 | 0.19 | 1.33 |
| These 5, combined | 0.79 | 0.68 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Luka Modrić featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad24 May | 87 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sevilla18 May | 90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Mallorca14 May | 90 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| @ FC Barcelona11 May | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Celta Vigo4 May | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Athletic Club20 Apr | 78 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Valencia5 Apr | 77 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Leganés29 Mar | 81 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Villarreal15 Mar | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Rayo Vallecano9 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Luka Modrić have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 La Liga games, Luka Modrić has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Luka Modrić average?
Across the last 10 La Liga games, Luka Modrić is averaging 0.27 shots on target and 1.06 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Luka Modrić get booked?
Luka Modrić is averaging 0.13 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Luka Modrić commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Luka Modrić commits 1.19 fouls per 90 and wins 0.93 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luka Modrić?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Luka Modrić plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.