What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a La Liga full-back, 25/26, 1,766 appearances
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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Nahuel Molina has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
Nahuel Molina has no La Liga record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Champions League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 La Liga full-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nahuel MolinaAS RomaUEFA Champions League | 13 | 0.51 | 0.77 |
| Héctor BellerínReal Betis | 7 | 0.52 | 1.04 |
| Marcos LlorenteAtlético Madrid | 7 | 0.58 | 1.55 |
| Roger HinojoEspanyol | 8 | 0.17 | 0.83 |
| Eric GarcíaFC Barcelona | 6 | 0.77 | 0.77 |
| Sergio GómezReal Sociedad | 7 | 0.61 | 0.46 |
| These 5, combined | 0.52 | 0.90 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Nahuel Molina featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo9 May | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Valencia2 May | 90 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Athletic Club25 Apr | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| @ Elche22 Apr | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| FC Barcelona4 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| @ Real Madrid22 Mar | 33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Getafe14 Mar | 90 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Real Sociedad7 Mar | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| @ Real Oviedo28 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Espanyol21 Feb | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Nahuel Molina have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 La Liga games, Nahuel Molina has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Nahuel Molina average?
Across the last 10 La Liga games, Nahuel Molina is averaging 0.60 shots on target and 1.65 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Nahuel Molina get booked?
Nahuel Molina is averaging 0.45 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Nahuel Molina commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Nahuel Molina commits 0.75 fouls per 90 and wins 0.60 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nahuel Molina?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nahuel Molina plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.