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La Liga 24/25
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Nayef Aguerd

Centre-back 100% of 21 recent starts Olympique de MarseilleLa Liga 24/25

Also in: Premier LeagueLigue 1

Next match
Olympique de Marseille vs Deportivo de A Coruña›
Sun 11 Oct

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 21 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a La Liga centre-back, 25/26, 1,827 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 100.9×
Total shots0.53 per 90
50%
5 of 101.5×
Fouls won0.75 per 90
40%
4 of 101.1×
Fouls committed0.75 per 90
50%
5 of 100.9×
Tackles1.60 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.21 per 90
20%
2 of 101.0×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Nayef Aguerd has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

Nayef Aguerd has no La Liga record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Champions League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 La Liga centre-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Nayef AguerdOlympique de MarseilleUEFA Champions League 50.20 1.20
Aïssa MandiLevante UD 60.18 0.35
Einar GalileaMálaga CF 60.00 0.96
DjenéGetafe 70.00 0.90
NatanReal Betis 60.50 0.33
Zaid RomeroGetafe 60.17 0.69
These 5, combined 0.17 0.65

Recent matches

The last 10 games Nayef Aguerd featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Athletic Club4 May 90 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sevilla9 Mar 90 1 1 0 1 0 0
Leganés23 Feb 32 0 1 0 0 0 1
@ Real Betis16 Feb 90 0 1 2 0 1 0
Espanyol9 Feb 90 0 0 1 0 2 1
@ Osasuna2 Feb 90 0 1 0 1 3 0
@ Valencia19 Jan 90 0 1 0 0 4 0
Villarreal13 Jan 90 0 0 1 1 1 0
Las Palmas15 Dec 90 0 0 2 4 0 0
@ Leganés8 Dec 90 0 0 1 0 4 0
Officials on record
César Soto Grado 3 games Nayef Aguerd never booked 5.30cards/game 1.09×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current La Liga official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Nayef Aguerd have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Nayef Aguerd has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Nayef Aguerd average?

Across the last 10 La Liga games, Nayef Aguerd is averaging 0.11 shots on target and 0.53 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Nayef Aguerd get booked?

Nayef Aguerd is averaging 0.21 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Nayef Aguerd commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Nayef Aguerd commits 0.75 fouls per 90 and wins 0.75 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nayef Aguerd?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nayef Aguerd plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.