Nayef Aguerd
Centre-back 93% of 30 recent starts Olympique de MarseillePremier League 25/26
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League centre-back, 25/26, 1,659 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Nayef Aguerd has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 20%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Nayef Aguerd in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 66 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nayef AguerdOlympique de Marseille | 2 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Pau TorresAston Villa | 21 | 0.48 | 0.38 |
| Nikola MilenkovićNottingham Forest | 38 | 0.43 | 0.56 |
| Tyrone MingsAston Villa | 17 | 0.61 | 0.68 |
| Ezri KonsaArsenal | 34 | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| Maxime EstèveRB Leipzig | 34 | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| These 5, combined | 0.40 | 0.45 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Nayef Aguerd featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea22 Aug | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Sunderland16 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fulham14 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Burnley10 Mar | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Nottingham Forest17 Feb | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Arsenal11 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Man Utd4 Feb | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Wolves17 Dec | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Fulham10 Dec | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Tottenham7 Dec | 90 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Nayef Aguerd have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Nayef Aguerd has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Nayef Aguerd average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Nayef Aguerd is averaging 0.20 shots on target and 0.71 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Nayef Aguerd get booked?
Nayef Aguerd is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Nayef Aguerd commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Nayef Aguerd commits 0.20 fouls per 90 and wins 0.30 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nayef Aguerd?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nayef Aguerd plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.