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SharpXI©
La Liga 25/26
RA

Rafa Mir

Striker 77% of 30 recent starts ElcheLa Liga 25/26

Next match
Elche vs Celta Vigo›
Sun 11 Oct

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a La Liga striker, 25/26, 1,664 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target2.02 per 90
70%
7 of 101.5×
Total shots3.26 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.1×
Fouls won0.62 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Fouls committed1.40 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
Tackles1.24 per 90
60%
6 of 101.7×
30%
3 of 102.8×
Cards0.47 per 90
30%
3 of 102.9×
Goals0.31 per 90
20%
2 of 100.9×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Rafa Mir has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Rafa Mir featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Atlético Madrid22 Apr 67 1 2 0 0 0 0
Valencia11 Apr 90 1 2 1 1 1 0
@ Rayo Vallecano3 Apr 45 3 4 1 0 3 1
Mallorca21 Mar 80 1 2 0 0 1 0
@ Real Madrid14 Mar 26 0 2 3 0 1 1
@ Villarreal8 Mar 77 2 2 1 1 0 0
Espanyol1 Mar 90 4 5 2 2 1 1
@ Athletic Club20 Feb 15 0 0 0 0 0 0
Osasuna13 Feb 11 0 0 1 0 0 0
Villarreal3 Jan 79 1 2 0 0 1 0
Officials on record
Jesus Gil Manzano 7 games Rafa Mir booked in 2 5.31cards/game 1.09×vs league
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea 6 games Rafa Mir booked in 1 4.32cards/game 0.89×vs league
Alejandro Hernandez 6 games Rafa Mir never booked 5.91cards/game 1.22×vs league
César Soto Grado 6 games Rafa Mir never booked 5.30cards/game 1.09×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 13 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Rafa Mir have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Rafa Mir has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Rafa Mir average?

Across the last 10 La Liga games, Rafa Mir is averaging 2.02 shots on target and 3.26 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Rafa Mir get booked?

Rafa Mir is averaging 0.47 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Rafa Mir commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Rafa Mir commits 1.40 fouls per 90 and wins 0.62 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Rafa Mir?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Rafa Mir plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.