What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a La Liga winger, 25/26, 1,345 appearances
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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Rubén Vargas has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wingers
The closest 5 profiles to Rubén Vargas in La Liga, 26/27 — drawn from 7 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rubén VargasSevilla | 1 | 4.50 | 0.00 |
| Sergio CanalesReal Racing Club | 7 | 2.31 | 0.89 |
| Álvaro GarcíaRayo Vallecano | 7 | 1.87 | 0.85 |
| AntonyReal Betis | 7 | 5.49 | 1.20 |
| Tyrhys DolanEspanyol | 7 | 1.22 | 1.75 |
| Iñigo VicenteReal Racing Club | 7 | 0.66 | 1.49 |
| These 5, combined | 2.30 | 1.24 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Rubén Vargas featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano15 Aug | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Celta Vigo23 May | 26 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Real Madrid17 May | 54 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Villarreal13 May | 67 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Espanyol9 May | 75 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Real Sociedad4 May | 75 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Osasuna26 Apr | 76 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Levante UD23 Apr | 83 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Atlético Madrid11 Apr | 78 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Real Oviedo5 Apr | 80 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Rubén Vargas have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 La Liga games, Rubén Vargas has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Rubén Vargas average?
Across the last 10 La Liga games, Rubén Vargas is averaging 0.28 shots on target and 2.56 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Rubén Vargas get booked?
Rubén Vargas is averaging 0.14 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Rubén Vargas commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Rubén Vargas commits 0.71 fouls per 90 and wins 1.14 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Rubén Vargas?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Rubén Vargas plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.