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La Liga 26/27
TH

Thiago Fernández

Winger 62% of 13 recent starts Levante UDLa Liga 26/27

Next match
Levante UD vs Athletic Club›
Wed 16 SepReferee Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 20 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a La Liga winger, 25/26, 1,345 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.42 per 90
30%
3 of 100.8×
2.10PPEdge
Total shots1.67 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
1.33PPEdge
Fouls won0.69 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
1.40PPEdge
Fouls committed0.56 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
1.62PPEdge
Tackles1.39 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.6×
38%
3 of 83.0×
Cards0.28 per 90
20%
2 of 102.0×
5.00PPEdge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Thiago Fernández has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

The closest 5 profiles to Thiago Fernández in La Liga, 26/27 — drawn from 7 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Thiago FernándezLevante UD 41.86 0.62
Álvaro GarcíaRayo Vallecano 71.87 0.85
Sergio CanalesReal Racing Club 72.31 0.89
Tyrhys DolanEspanyol 71.22 1.75
RaphinhaFC Barcelona 74.05 0.49
AntonyReal Betis 75.49 1.20
These 5, combined 3.01 1.03

Recent matches

The last 10 games Thiago Fernández featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Villarreal20 Sep 63 0 1 1 0 0 0
@ Málaga CF6 Sep 77 1 3 0 0 2 0
Real Betis30 Aug 72 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ Osasuna23 Aug 78 0 1 1 0 2 0
Deportivo Alavés17 May 45 0 1 1 0 1 1
@ Real Madrid14 May 69 0 0 0 0 1 0
Getafe10 May 64 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Real Betis3 May 64 1 2 0 3 1 0
Elche26 Apr 45 0 1 1 1 1 1
Villarreal23 Apr 71 1 2 0 1 1 0
Officials on record
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea 3 games Thiago Fernández never booked 4.32cards/game 0.89×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current La Liga official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Thiago Fernández have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Thiago Fernández has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Thiago Fernández average?

Across the last 10 La Liga games, Thiago Fernández is averaging 0.42 shots on target and 1.67 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Thiago Fernández get booked?

Thiago Fernández is averaging 0.28 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Thiago Fernández commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Thiago Fernández commits 0.56 fouls per 90 and wins 0.69 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Thiago Fernández?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Thiago Fernández plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.