What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Ligue 1 winger, 25/26, 1,137 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Afonso Moreira has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 100%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wingers
The closest 5 profiles to Afonso Moreira in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 41 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afonso MoreiraBayer 04 Leverkusen | 27 | 2.09 | 1.41 |
| Arnaud NordinStade Rennais | 10 | 3.14 | 1.26 |
| Ibrahim OsmanBrighton & Hove Albion | 14 | 2.57 | 1.00 |
| Ilan KebbalParis FC | 29 | 2.02 | 0.61 |
| Igor PaixãoOlympique de Marseille | 30 | 2.59 | 0.95 |
| Rémy CabellaNantes | 11 | 1.41 | 1.10 |
| These 5, combined | 2.32 | 0.87 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Afonso Moreira featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RC Lens17 May | 90 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Toulouse10 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Stade Rennais3 May | 90 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Auxerre25 Apr | 90 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Paris Saint-Germain19 Apr | 90 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| Lorient12 Apr | 90 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| @ Angers5 Apr | 90 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| AS Monaco22 Mar | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Nantes7 Feb | 86 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Lille1 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees
Frequently asked
How often does Afonso Moreira have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Afonso Moreira has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Afonso Moreira average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Afonso Moreira is averaging 0.71 shots on target and 2.02 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Afonso Moreira get booked?
Afonso Moreira is averaging 0.10 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Afonso Moreira commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Afonso Moreira commits 1.82 fouls per 90 and wins 3.54 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Afonso Moreira?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Afonso Moreira plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.