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Ligue 1 · 25/26
AF

Afonso Moreira

Forward · Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 1 25/26

In 25/26, Afonso Moreira has hit 1+ shot on target in 37% of 27 Ligue 1 appearances (10 of 27), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 56%, 1+ foul won in 81%, and been booked in 11% (3 of 27). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 27 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
50%5 of 10
0.71
80%Hot8 of 10
2.02
100%Hot10 of 10
3.54
70%7 of 10
1.82
10%1 of 10
0.10
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Olympique Lyonnais at Toulouse
Sat 22 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Afonso Moreira featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
RC Lens17 May 90 1 3 0 2 0
@ Toulouse10 May 90 0 1 2 6 0
Stade Rennais3 May 90 2 4 3 6 0
Auxerre25 Apr 90 0 2 1 3 0
@ Paris Saint-Germain19 Apr 90 2 2 0 5 0
Lorient12 Apr 90 1 2 5 3 1
@ Angers5 Apr 90 0 3 2 4 0
AS Monaco22 Mar 85 0 0 0 3 0
@ Nantes7 Feb 86 1 3 2 2 0
Lille1 Feb 90 0 0 3 1 0
Officials on record
François Letexier 4 games · Afonso Moreira never booked 4.27cards/game 1.10×vs league
Mathieu Vernice 3 games · Afonso Moreira booked in 1 4.40cards/game 1.13×vs league
Clement Turpin 3 games · Afonso Moreira never booked 3.36cards/game 0.86×vs league
Eric Wattellier 3 games · Afonso Moreira never booked 3.40cards/game 0.87×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Afonso Moreira have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Afonso Moreira has hit 1+ shot on target in 37% of 27 Ligue 1 appearances (10 of 27). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Afonso Moreira average?

Across 27 Ligue 1 appearances in 25/26, Afonso Moreira is averaging 0.73 shots on target and 2.09 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Afonso Moreira get booked?

Afonso Moreira is averaging 0.16 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Afonso Moreira commit or win more fouls?

This season Afonso Moreira commits 1.41 fouls per 90 and wins 2.98 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Afonso Moreira?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Afonso Moreira plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.