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Ligue 1 25/26
AR

Aron Dønnum

Wing-back 63% of 30 recent starts ToulouseLigue 1 25/26

Next match
Toulouse at AS Monaco›
Sat 10 OctReferee Ruddy Buquet

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 wing-back, 25/26, 587 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.54 per 90
40%
4 of 102.2×
2.62PPEdge
Total shots1.84 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 102.2×
1.36PPEdge
Fouls won0.86 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
Fouls committed1.94 per 90
70%
7 of 101.4×
Tackles1.62 per 90
70%
7 of 101.0×
40%
4 of 107.5×
Cards0.54 per 90
40%
4 of 103.1×
Goals0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 101.7×
form only
Assists0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Aron Dønnum has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 40% (4 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wing-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Aron Dønnum in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 22 wing-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Aron DønnumToulouse 281.49 1.52
Diego MoreiraRC Strasbourg 271.28 0.79
Matthieu UdolRC Lens 341.41 0.90
Panos KatserisLorient 160.84 1.56
Tiago GouveiaNice 161.85 0.92
Deiver MachadoRC Lens 190.99 1.90
These 5, combined 1.29 1.09

Recent matches

The last 10 games Aron Dønnum featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Olympique Lyonnais10 May 79 1 1 5 0 0 2
@ RC Strasbourg3 May 90 0 1 2 0 2 1
AS Monaco25 Apr 90 1 3 2 2 7 0
@ RC Lens17 Apr 64 0 0 1 2 2 0
Lille12 Apr 60 0 1 2 1 1 0
@ Paris Saint-Germain3 Apr 90 0 1 4 0 0 0
Lorient21 Mar 90 0 2 0 1 0 1
@ Metz15 Mar 90 1 2 0 1 1 0
Olympique de Marseille7 Mar 90 0 1 2 1 1 1
@ Le Havre15 Feb 90 2 5 0 0 1 0
Officials on record
Jeremy Stinat 6 games Aron Dønnum booked in 3 3.89cards/game 1.01×vs league
Clement Turpin 5 games Aron Dønnum booked in 1 3.32cards/game 0.86×vs league
Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj 5 games Aron Dønnum booked in 1 4.08cards/game 1.05×vs league
Mathieu Vernice 5 games Aron Dønnum booked in 1 4.35cards/game 1.12×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees

Frequently asked

How often does Aron Dønnum have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Aron Dønnum has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Aron Dønnum average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Aron Dønnum is averaging 0.54 shots on target and 1.84 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Aron Dønnum get booked?

Aron Dønnum is averaging 0.54 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Aron Dønnum commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Aron Dønnum commits 1.94 fouls per 90 and wins 0.86 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Aron Dønnum?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Aron Dønnum plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.