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Ligue 1 23/24
AR

Arthur Theate

Centre-back 77% of 30 recent starts BolognaLigue 1 23/24

Also in: Serie ABundesliga

Next match
Bologna vs Auxerre›
Sun 11 OctReferee Willy Delajod

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 centre-back, 25/26, 1,295 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.25 per 90
20%
2 of 101.8×
Total shots0.62 per 90
30%
3 of 101.0×
Fouls won0.62 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
Fouls committed0.99 per 90
40%
4 of 100.7×
Tackles1.60 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
10%
1 of 10
Cards0.25 per 90
20%
2 of 101.2×
Goals0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 103.7×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Arthur Theate has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wide centre-backs

Arthur Theate has no Ligue 1 record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Bundesliga 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Ligue 1 wide centre-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Arthur TheateBolognaBundesliga 240.63 0.63
Malang SarrRC Lens 330.71 0.65
Benjamin PavardInter 270.51 1.01
Rasmus NicolaisenToulouse 320.53 0.98
Mark McKenzieToulouse 290.22 1.31
Ismaelo GaniouRC Lens 230.98 1.12
These 5, combined 0.58 0.99

Recent matches

The last 10 games Arthur Theate featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
RC Lens12 May 57 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ Metz4 May 90 0 2 2 1 1 1
Stade Brestois28 Apr 90 1 2 0 0 2 0
@ Nantes20 Apr 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Toulouse13 Apr 90 0 0 0 0 2 0
@ AS Monaco7 Apr 90 0 0 3 0 2 1
@ RC Strasbourg31 Mar 75 0 0 1 1 4 0
@ Lille10 Mar 57 0 0 0 0 1 0
Lorient3 Mar 90 0 0 0 2 0 0
Clermont Foot18 Feb 90 1 1 2 0 1 0
Officials on record
Ruddy Buquet 4 games Arthur Theate booked in 2 3.85cards/game 0.99×vs league
Clement Turpin 4 games Arthur Theate booked in 1 3.32cards/game 0.86×vs league
Eric Wattellier 4 games Arthur Theate never booked 3.40cards/game 0.88×vs league
Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj 4 games Arthur Theate never booked 4.08cards/game 1.05×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees

Frequently asked

How often does Arthur Theate have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Arthur Theate has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Arthur Theate average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Arthur Theate is averaging 0.25 shots on target and 0.62 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Arthur Theate get booked?

Arthur Theate is averaging 0.25 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Arthur Theate commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Arthur Theate commits 0.99 fouls per 90 and wins 0.62 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Arthur Theate?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Arthur Theate plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.