Breel Embolo
Striker 90% of 30 recent starts Stade RennaisLigue 1 25/26
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Ligue 1 striker, 25/26, 1,182 appearances
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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Breel Embolo has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Breel Embolo in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 46 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Breel EmboloStade Rennais | 31 | 1.97 | 2.31 |
| Sékou MaraRC Strasbourg | 27 | 2.41 | 1.97 |
| Youssef El ArabiNantes | 25 | 1.38 | 2.02 |
| Prosper PeterAngers | 29 | 1.63 | 2.12 |
| Frank MagriToulouse | 17 | 2.35 | 1.99 |
| Joaquin PanichelliRC Strasbourg | 27 | 2.42 | 1.76 |
| These 5, combined | 2.11 | 1.94 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Breel Embolo featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Olympique de Marseille17 May | 45 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Paris FC10 May | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Olympique Lyonnais3 May | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Nantes26 Apr | 81 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| @ RC Strasbourg19 Apr | 68 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Angers11 Apr | 73 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Stade Brestois4 Apr | 90 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Metz22 Mar | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Lille15 Mar | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Nice8 Mar | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees
Frequently asked
How often does Breel Embolo have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Breel Embolo has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Breel Embolo average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Breel Embolo is averaging 1.03 shots on target and 3.09 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Breel Embolo get booked?
Breel Embolo is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Breel Embolo commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Breel Embolo commits 2.06 fouls per 90 and wins 3.09 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Breel Embolo?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Breel Embolo plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.