Breel Embolo
In 25/26, Breel Embolo has hit 1+ shot on target in 42% of 31 Ligue 1 appearances (13 of 31), 1+ total shot in 68%, 1+ foul committed in 77%, 1+ foul won in 81%, and been booked in 10% (3 of 31). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Breel Embolo featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Olympique de Marseille17 May | 45 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Paris FC10 May | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Olympique Lyonnais3 May | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Nantes26 Apr | 81 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| @ RC Strasbourg19 Apr | 68 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Angers11 Apr | 73 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Stade Brestois4 Apr | 90 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Metz22 Mar | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Lille15 Mar | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Nice8 Mar | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 14 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Breel Embolo have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Breel Embolo has hit 1+ shot on target in 42% of 31 Ligue 1 appearances (13 of 31). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Breel Embolo average?
Across 31 Ligue 1 appearances in 25/26, Breel Embolo is averaging 0.82 shots on target and 1.97 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Breel Embolo get booked?
Breel Embolo is averaging 0.14 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Breel Embolo commit or win more fouls?
This season Breel Embolo commits 2.31 fouls per 90 and wins 2.79 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Breel Embolo?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Breel Embolo plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.