What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Ligue 1 wing-back, 25/26, 587 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Fabien Centonze has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Fabien Centonze in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 44 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fabien CentonzeNantes | 15 | 0.94 | 1.53 |
| VandersonAS Monaco | 14 | 0.44 | 2.20 |
| Marvin SenayaAuxerre | 25 | 0.76 | 1.31 |
| Koffi KouaoMetz | 27 | 0.91 | 1.27 |
| Mahamadou NagidaStade Rennais | 19 | 1.44 | 1.56 |
| Amir MurilloOlympique de Marseille | 16 | 0.82 | 2.00 |
| These 5, combined | 0.88 | 1.52 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Fabien Centonze featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Auxerre11 Apr | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Metz5 Apr | 45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Angers7 Mar | 75 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Lille1 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| Le Havre22 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| @ AS Monaco13 Feb | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Olympique Lyonnais7 Feb | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Lorient31 Jan | 78 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Olympique de Marseille4 Jan | 45 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Angers12 Dec | 90 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees
Frequently asked
How often does Fabien Centonze have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Fabien Centonze has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Fabien Centonze average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Fabien Centonze is averaging 0.38 shots on target and 0.89 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Fabien Centonze get booked?
Fabien Centonze is averaging 0.38 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Fabien Centonze commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Fabien Centonze commits 1.40 fouls per 90 and wins 1.02 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Fabien Centonze?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Fabien Centonze plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.