Keito Nakamura
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Keito Nakamura has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 40% (4 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Keito Nakamura featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz29 May | 120 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| @ Metz21 May | 89 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Saint-Étienne10 May | 90 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Nice2 May | 90 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Montpellier27 Apr | 90 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Toulouse20 Apr | 79 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ RC Lens11 Apr | 89 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| RC Strasbourg6 Apr | 90 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Olympique de Marseille29 Mar | 90 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Stade Brestois16 Mar | 90 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Keito Nakamura have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Keito Nakamura has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Keito Nakamura average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Keito Nakamura is averaging 1.08 shots on target and 3.14 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Keito Nakamura get booked?
Keito Nakamura is averaging 0.39 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Keito Nakamura commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Keito Nakamura commits 0.79 fouls per 90 and wins 0.29 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Keito Nakamura?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Keito Nakamura plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.