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Ligue 1 26/27
KE

Keito Nakamura

Winger 57% of 30 recent starts Olympique LyonnaisLigue 1 26/27

Next match
Olympique Lyonnais vs Nice›
Sun 18 Oct

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 winger, 25/26, 1,137 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.90 per 90
50%
5 of 101.4×
Total shots3.20 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.3×
Fouls won0.38 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
Fouls committed0.90 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
Tackles1.02 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.38 per 90
30%
3 of 103.5×
Goals0.26 per 90
10%
1 of 100.8×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Keito Nakamura has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Keito Nakamura featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ RC Lens9 Oct 30 1 2 1 0 0 0
Stade Rennais19 Sep 11 0 0 0 0 3 0
@ Paris FC12 Sep 15 0 0 0 0 1 0
Metz29 May 120 0 5 0 2 1 1
@ Metz21 May 89 0 2 0 0 1 0
Saint-Étienne10 May 90 0 5 0 0 1 0
@ Nice2 May 90 1 4 2 0 0 1
@ Montpellier27 Apr 90 2 3 3 0 1 1
Toulouse20 Apr 79 1 1 1 0 0 0
@ RC Lens11 Apr 89 2 3 0 1 0 0
Officials on record
Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj 8 games Keito Nakamura never booked 4.08cards/game 1.05×vs league
Eric Wattellier 7 games Keito Nakamura booked in 2 3.40cards/game 0.88×vs league
Mathieu Vernice 6 games Keito Nakamura booked in 1 4.35cards/game 1.12×vs league
Jérôme Brisard 4 games Keito Nakamura booked in 1 4.06cards/game 1.05×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees

Frequently asked

How often does Keito Nakamura have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Keito Nakamura has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Keito Nakamura average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Keito Nakamura is averaging 0.90 shots on target and 3.20 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Keito Nakamura get booked?

Keito Nakamura is averaging 0.38 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Keito Nakamura commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Keito Nakamura commits 0.90 fouls per 90 and wins 0.38 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Keito Nakamura?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Keito Nakamura plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.