Lionel Messi
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Lionel Messi has hit 1+ shot on target in 90% (9 of 10), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Lionel Messi featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clermont Foot3 Jun | 90 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ RC Strasbourg27 May | 90 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Auxerre21 May | 90 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ajaccio13 May | 90 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Lorient30 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Angers21 Apr | 90 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| RC Lens15 Apr | 90 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Nice8 Apr | 90 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Olympique Lyonnais2 Apr | 90 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stade Rennais19 Mar | 90 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Lionel Messi have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Lionel Messi has hit 1+ shot on target in 90% (9 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Lionel Messi average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Lionel Messi is averaging 1.30 shots on target and 3.40 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Lionel Messi get booked?
Lionel Messi is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Lionel Messi commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Lionel Messi commits 0.50 fouls per 90 and wins 0.40 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lionel Messi?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Lionel Messi plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.