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Ligue 1 23/24
MA

Maxime Estève

Centre-back 87% of 30 recent starts RB LeipzigLigue 1 23/24

Also in: Premier LeagueChampionshipBundesliga

Last games
max 35 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 centre-back, 25/26, 1,295 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.20 per 90
20%
2 of 101.8×
Total shots0.40 per 90
40%
4 of 101.3×
Fouls won0.70 per 90
50%
5 of 101.2×
Fouls committed0.90 per 90
70%
7 of 101.3×
Tackles1.20 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.20 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
Goals0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 103.7×
form only
Assists0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 104.0×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Maxime Estève has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

Maxime Estève has no Ligue 1 record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Premier League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Ligue 1 centre-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Maxime EstèveRB LeipzigPremier League 340.31 0.40
Jordan LefortAngers 340.29 0.65
Ousmane CamaraAngers 320.43 0.73
Moustapha MbowParis FC 310.33 0.93
MarquinhosParis Saint-Germain 140.26 0.69
Ilya ZabarnyiParis Saint-Germain 280.15 0.68
These 5, combined 0.30 0.74

Recent matches

The last 10 games Maxime Estève featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Lille28 Jan 90 0 0 1 1 2 0
@ Stade Brestois14 Jan 90 1 1 0 1 0 0
Olympique de Marseille20 Dec 90 0 0 1 0 1 0
@ Metz17 Dec 90 1 1 1 0 1 0
RC Lens8 Dec 90 0 0 3 1 2 0
@ AS Monaco3 Dec 90 0 0 1 2 2 0
Clermont Foot29 Nov 89 0 0 1 0 0 2
Stade Brestois26 Nov 90 0 1 1 2 2 0
Nice10 Nov 90 0 1 0 0 1 0
@ Paris Saint-Germain3 Nov 90 0 0 0 0 1 0
Officials on record
Jeremy Stinat 4 games Maxime Estève booked in 2 3.89cards/game 1.01×vs league
Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj 3 games Maxime Estève booked in 1 4.08cards/game 1.05×vs league
Bastien Dechepy 3 games Maxime Estève never booked 4.09cards/game 1.06×vs league
Marc Bollengier 3 games Maxime Estève never booked 3.74cards/game 0.97×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees

Frequently asked

How often does Maxime Estève have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Maxime Estève has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Maxime Estève average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Maxime Estève is averaging 0.20 shots on target and 0.40 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Maxime Estève get booked?

Maxime Estève is averaging 0.20 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Maxime Estève commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Maxime Estève commits 0.90 fouls per 90 and wins 0.70 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Maxime Estève?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Maxime Estève plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.