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Ligue 1 · 25/26
PA

Pablo Pagis

Forward · Lorient · Ligue 1 25/26

In 25/26, Pablo Pagis has hit 1+ shot on target in 54% of 28 Ligue 1 appearances (15 of 28), 1+ total shot in 82%, 1+ foul committed in 61%, 1+ foul won in 54%, and been booked in 4% (1 of 28). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 31 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
60%6 of 10
0.88
90%Hot9 of 10
3.03
70%7 of 10
2.39
50%5 of 10
1.01
0%0 of 10
0.00
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Lorient at Nice
Sat 22 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Pablo Pagis featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Le Havre17 May 67 1 3 2 4 0
@ Metz10 May 28 0 0 0 0 0
@ Paris Saint-Germain2 May 72 1 1 0 1 0
RC Strasbourg26 Apr 82 1 3 1 3 0
Olympique de Marseille18 Apr 82 1 5 1 5 0
@ Olympique Lyonnais12 Apr 90 0 3 2 3 0
Paris FC5 Apr 72 0 1 0 0 0
Auxerre1 Mar 80 0 3 2 0 0
@ Nice22 Feb 67 2 3 0 1 0
Angers15 Feb 74 1 2 0 2 0
Officials on record
Gael Angoula 4 games · Pablo Pagis never booked 3.27cards/game 0.84×vs league
Willy Delajod 3 games · Pablo Pagis booked in 1 3.71cards/game 0.95×vs league
Ruddy Buquet 3 games · Pablo Pagis never booked 3.86cards/game 0.99×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Pablo Pagis have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Pablo Pagis has hit 1+ shot on target in 54% of 28 Ligue 1 appearances (15 of 28). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Pablo Pagis average?

Across 28 Ligue 1 appearances in 25/26, Pablo Pagis is averaging 0.97 shots on target and 3.00 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Pablo Pagis get booked?

Pablo Pagis is averaging 0.05 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Pablo Pagis commit or win more fouls?

This season Pablo Pagis commits 1.17 fouls per 90 and wins 1.47 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Pablo Pagis?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Pablo Pagis plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.