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Ligue 1 26/27
SA

Samir El Mourabet

Central midfielder 96% of 27 recent starts RC StrasbourgLigue 1 26/27

Next match
RC Strasbourg at Nice›
Sun 11 OctReferee Jeremie Pignard

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 36 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 central midfielder, 25/26, 2,122 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.16 per 90
10%
1 of 100.5×
4.40MGMEdge
Total shots0.66 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
1.83bet365Edge
Fouls won1.32 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
Fouls committed0.99 per 90
40%
4 of 100.7×
Tackles3.30 per 90
70%
7 of 101.0×
10%
1 of 101.0×
Cards0.16 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
3.40bet365Edge
Goals0.16 per 90
10%
1 of 101.9×
form only
Assists0.16 per 90
10%
1 of 101.7×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Samir El Mourabet has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Samir El Mourabet in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 82 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Samir El MourabetRC Strasbourg 330.50 0.97
Abu FrancisToulouse 81.02 0.85
Louis LerouxNantes 230.94 0.75
Hugo MagnettiStade Brestois 330.73 1.03
Cristian Cásseres Jr.Toulouse 300.94 1.40
Arthur Avom EbongLorient 310.89 0.98
These 5, combined 0.87 1.07

Recent matches

The last 10 games Samir El Mourabet featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Paris FC19 Sep 67 0 1 0 0 1 0
AS Monaco12 Sep 9 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Olympique de Marseille21 Aug 59 0 0 2 0 2 1
AS Monaco17 May 90 0 1 0 1 5 0
@ Stade Brestois13 May 90 0 0 1 2 4 0
Toulouse3 May 45 0 0 0 4 4 0
@ Lorient26 Apr 67 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stade Rennais19 Apr 33 0 1 0 0 2 0
Nice4 Apr 58 1 1 1 1 2 0
@ Nantes22 Mar 28 0 0 2 0 0 0
Officials on record
Ruddy Buquet 4 games Samir El Mourabet booked in 1 3.85cards/game 0.99×vs league
Jeremie Pignard 3 games Samir El Mourabet booked in 1 4.43cards/game 1.14×vs league
Clement Turpin 3 games Samir El Mourabet never booked 3.32cards/game 0.86×vs league
Eric Wattellier 3 games Samir El Mourabet never booked 3.40cards/game 0.88×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees

Frequently asked

How often does Samir El Mourabet have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Samir El Mourabet has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Samir El Mourabet average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Samir El Mourabet is averaging 0.16 shots on target and 0.66 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Samir El Mourabet get booked?

Samir El Mourabet is averaging 0.16 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Samir El Mourabet commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Samir El Mourabet commits 0.99 fouls per 90 and wins 1.32 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Samir El Mourabet?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Samir El Mourabet plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.